S&P 5005,738-1.7%
Nasdaq18,042-2.3%
10Y UST4.15%-14bp
DXY104.8+1.2%
WTI$92.40+18.5%
VIX28.4+45%
Gold$2,945+3.2%
SOFR3.66%-2bp
EUR/USD1.0642-0.8%
Bund 10Y2.48%-9bp
S&P 5005,738-1.7%
Nasdaq18,042-2.3%
10Y UST4.15%-14bp
DXY104.8+1.2%
WTI$92.40+18.5%
VIX28.4+45%
Gold$2,945+3.2%
SOFR3.66%-2bp
EUR/USD1.0642-0.8%
Bund 10Y2.48%-9bp
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Backtest Dashboard

Historical performance of past trading signals. Track win rates, average returns, and holding periods to evaluate signal quality and refine strategies.

Win Rate
67%

6W / 3L

Total Return
+62.7%

9 closed trades

Avg Return
+7.0%

per trade

Profit Factor
4.5x

avg win / avg loss

Avg Hold
30d

holding period

Open
3

active positions

Trade P&L Distribution

Long UST 10Y — Fligh...Short EUR/USD — Doll...Long XLE — Energy Su...Long IG Credit — Spr...Short Russell 2000 —...Long Gold — Geopolit...Long VIX Calls — Vol...Long USDJPY — Carry ...Long Nikkei 225 — BO...-15%0%15%30%45%
12 of 12 trades
StatusSignalTargetActual
win
buy
Long UST 10Y — Flight to Quality
+2~4%+3.2%
win
sell
Short EUR/USD — Dollar Strength
+3~5%+1.6%
win
buy
Long XLE — Energy Supercycle
+8~12%+8.7%
loss
buy
Long IG Credit — Spread Compression
+2~4%-1.8%
win
sell
Short Russell 2000 — Quality Rotation
+5~8%+6.1%
win
buy
Long Gold — Geopolitical Hedge
+5~10%+8.9%
win
buy
Long VIX Calls — Vol Expansion
+30~60%+42%
loss
buy
Long USDJPY — Carry Trade
+2~3%-2.4%
open
buy
PE Secondary Fund Allocation
+8~12%Open
open
sell
Short HY Credit — Default Cycle
+4~8%Open
loss
buy
Long Nikkei 225 — BOJ Normalization
+5~10%-3.6%
open
buy
S&P 500 Basis Trade — Futures Premium
+1.5~3%Open

Trade Notes

Long UST 10Y — Flight to Quality+3.2%

Yield decline captured as geopolitical risk emerged. Closed at target.

Short EUR/USD — Dollar Strength+1.6%

Dollar strengthened but EUR found support at 1.065. Partial target hit.

Long XLE — Energy Supercycle+8.7%

Energy rally driven by Middle East tensions and OPEC+ discipline. Hit lower target.

Long IG Credit — Spread Compression-1.8%

Credit spreads widened instead of compressing. Stopped out as geopolitical risk escalated.

Short Russell 2000 — Quality Rotation+6.1%

Small caps underperformed as credit conditions tightened. Quality factor outperformed.

Long Gold — Geopolitical Hedge+8.9%

Gold rallied to near all-time highs on persistent risk-off sentiment and central bank buying.

Long VIX Calls — Vol Expansion+42%

VIX exploded from 18.5 to 28.4 as geopolitical crisis escalated. Options delivered outsized return.

Long USDJPY — Carry Trade-2.4%

JPY strengthened as safe-haven flows overwhelmed carry trade logic. Stopped out.

PE Secondary Fund AllocationOpen

Position initiated at attractive NAV discount. Long-term hold. Monitoring secondary market pricing.

Short HY Credit — Default CycleOpen

HY spreads have widened to 412bp. Position in profit but holding for further widening.

Long Nikkei 225 — BOJ Normalization-3.6%

Japanese equities sold off on global risk-off despite BOJ policy support. Foreign selling overwhelmed.

S&P 500 Basis Trade — Futures PremiumOpen

Delta-neutral basis trade initiated. Monitoring roll dynamics ahead of quarter-end.